McWherter Misleads on Crime
Saturday, August 14th, 2010According to Mike McWherter’s new ad, violent crime is up. However, Tennessee Bureau of Investigation statistics do not support his contention. According to their latest report, Group A offenses were down 4.5% in 2009 from the previous year. Crimes against persons were down slightly, 0.57%, between 2008 and 2009, but between 2007 and 2009 have declined 3.47%. In fairness to McWherter, the murder rate has increased during this time period, but McWherter’s claim that violent crime is on the increase is not supported by data.
From a political standpoint, I find it strange to see McWherter making crime an issue, given that it normally benefits Republicans, while the economy (an issue that typically benefits Democrats but may not do so this year) is on the minds of more people. Perhaps he is trying to triangulate by “stealing” the crime issue from Republicans. If so, I don’t think he will be successful. The issue of gangs, however, may earn him more support in urban areas (which usually go Democratic) where gangs are a more serious problem.